← Alpha board
ocean · Marathon, Monroe County, FL
12400 Overseas Hwy, Marathon, FL 33050 (oceanfront villa)
discoveredevidence: low
screen
model pb-score-v1
True oceanfront (private elevator, 3/3) below $1.25M in Marathon is nearly nonexistent; if the distress flag and cut verify, this is premium water hidden by messy marketing/data in a weekly-rental-legal city.
Asking price
$1,175,000
Suggested offer
$999,000
Do-not-exceed
$1,081,000
Renovation range
—
Visible scores — no black box
Asset — quality & scarcity85
Alpha — why the market is wrong74
Operating — durable use / income75
Risk — threats to capital (low is good)75
RealtyFund fit70
Composite69
Thesis
Named catalyst
Distress-flagged with a large recorded price drop (listing data shows an implausible drop figure — data error, but a major cut is indicated); oceanfront under $1.25M vs $965K county median for ALL product
Revenue strategy
Weekly STR
Primary risks
- price-drop data corrupted — full history and title must be verified
- likely condo/villa regime: post-Surfside assessment exposure
- oceanfront wind/flood insurance compresses cap rate
Evidence room
| Source | Kind | Retrieved | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homes.com Marathon foreclosures | listing | 2026-08-01 | open → |
Next action
Qualified opportunities advance to RealtyFund diligence. Rehab routes to HomeManager / Handyman / ServiceEscrow; stabilized operations route to PropertyManagement.